Researchers Predict Fourth Wave of COVID-19 in June

Researchers from IIT Kanpur have predicted that the fourth wave of COVID-19 in India will start on June 22, 2022.

The research was published on the preprint server MedRxiv on February 24 and conducted by Sabara Parshad Rajeshbhai, Subhra Sankar Dhar, and Shalabh of the department of mathematics and statistics, IIT Kanpur by using a statistical model for their prediction.

The prediction involved using the concept of the mixture of Gaussian distribution based on the data of Zimbabwe. Motivated by that study, the researchers investigated the forecasting of the fourth wave of the COVID-19 outbreak in India.


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